Monday, September 1, 2008

Prepping for the playoffs

For those of you in head-to-head fantasy baseball leagues, the first week of playoffs have probably started. If you were good enough to make it into the winners bracket, now is the time to evaluate your roster(s) on a daily basis. At this stage of the game, literally, passivity is the enemy. Stop focusing on player's names and start focusing on statistics that will help you win.

Who would you rather have on your team going into the playoffs (last 30 days)?
  • Player A: 22/68, .324, 14 R, 4 HR, 10 RBI, 1.072 OPS, 5 SB
  • Player B: 29/105, .276, 8 R, 2 HR, 16 RBI, .726 OPS, 0 SB
Player A is the recent LotD recipient Chris Dickerson (ESPN 28.1% owned) and Player B is Magglio Ordonez (100% owned). Now I am not suggesting that you drop Ordonez and pick up Dickerson but it is definitely time to start seeing if a guy like Dickerson is outplaying Torii Hunter (hint: he is):
  • Hunter: 25/92, .272, 11 R, 1 HR, 9 RBI, .716 OPS, 2 SB
Now is also the time to start streaming available pitchers to get those cheap wins and pile up the Ks. If your league allows daily changes, MAKE THEM. Leave nothing on the table ESPECIALLY if it is a money league. Exploit all league settings. Stick a J.P. Howell, Taylor Buchholz, Hong-Chih Kuo or Justin Masterson in an SP slot and hope for a cheap win (or hold) with minimal IP usage.

Keep an eye on guys like this who are having successes over the last month:
  • Gil Meche (36.5% owned) has only won one time over the last month but he's K'd 42 in 38.2 IPs with a very respectable 3.49 ERA with four quality starts.
  • Bronson Arroyo (38.6%) has a 2.61 ERA, 1.23 WHIP with 30 Ks, four Wins and five quality starts in 41.1 IPs.
  • Combine Manny Parra (33.3%) and Joe Blanton (26.3%) and you'd be getting 59 Ks, a 3.59 ERA in 65.1 IPs but only two wins. Each is pitching for a team fighting to get into the playoffs and hopefully the wins will come too.
  • Lastly, Odalis Perez (0.6%) hasn't won anyone any titles yet this year, but his 2.57 ERA in 13 starts at home this season is very stream-worthy. His four quality starts over the last month are the same number as Oliver Perez has yet he is 88.3% owned.
Again, you need to assess your needs on a daily basis and make decisions based on the numbers that it will take to win THIS WEEK. These strategies may not make you many friends in your leagues but just may help put one of these on your mantle too.

No comments: