Taking chances on guys like this season's Josh Beckett (ADP: 42.31), Erik Bedard (43.34), Aaron Harang (72.13), and "King" Felix (80.72) are just not worth it to me when the chance of finding cheap gems like Cliff Lee (398.32), Ervin Santana (362.98), Ricky Nolasco (400+), and Mike Mussina (375.67) have the potential for success with much less investment. I'd rather use those early round picks on hitters like Justin Morneau (38.12), Adam Dunn (42,31), Brian Roberts (43.03), Adrian Gonzalex (75.31), and Jason Bay (91.02) while applying some principles of a LIMA Plan to fill out my rotations on draft day.
So back to my idea for a regular column. I'd like to identify some stream-worthy pitchers (owned in less than 50% of ESPN leagues) each day and then revisit the picks the following day to see how it went. Here we go.
Thursday's schedule only offers a couple of stream-worthy pitchers:
- Jesse Litsch (8.5% owned) at home versus the Twins. Justification: Litsch is 5-2 at home this year with a 3.18 ERA and a .255 BAA; was 1-1, 1.37 ERA and .233 BAA in August; and 1-0, 3.18 ERA, .190 BAA vs. MIN this season.
- Jeff Suppan (4.6%) at home versus San Diego. Justification: Over the last 30 days, Suppan is 4-0 in 35 IPs with four quality starts, a 3.60 ERA and 1.06 WHIP but his 3.86 K/9 could be cause for concern. He's also facing Shawn Estes (fresh off the DL).