Friday, September 5, 2008

A Steady Stream

First off, I am not so sure I am in love with the name of this column, "A Steady Stream". It kinda feels like the result after taking a prostate drug like Flomax. Anyway, there are a lot of names available out there to stream for Saturday, September 9th with varying levels of risk. Stream wisely!
  • Todd Wellemeyer (59.9%) @ home vs. Florida: Todd is sporting a 2.78 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over the last month with a 3-2 record but has only recorded three quality starts. He also has a post-All Star ERA of 3.23 in 55.2 IPs with a .230 BAA. Florida's post-All Star BA of .239 ranks 29th.
  • Scott Baker (44.9%) @ home vs. Detroit: It was hard to find numbers to support streaming Baker but here are two that stood out. This season, his home ERA is 3.23 and his day games ERA is 3.30. I also like the fact that Minnesota is in the thick of a playoff run.
  • Gil Meche (34.8%) @ home vs. Cleveland: Meche has been on fire since the All Star break. Check out these numbers - 59 IP, 2.75 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 60/20 KBB ratio. Unfortunately, he's only 4-1 in that span but has posted seven of nine quality starts.
  • Shaun Marcum (59.7%) @ home vs. Tampa Bay: Marcum has been recalled from Triple-A to make this start. He had two good starts (15K in 13IP) down there and I'm simply hoping that confidence carries over to this start. He is 5-4 at home with a 3.05 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and a .200 BAA.
  • Ryan Rowland-Smith (2.1%) @ home vs. the Yankees: In seven starts this season, Ryan has performed well. He's only 2-1 in 39.2 IPs but a 3.86 ERA isn't bad. Here's where the numbers start to get interesting. In his last 20.1 IPs, his ERA is 1.77 with a 1.08 WHIP along with three straight quality starts.
Here are some others that I'd be wary to stream:
  • Johnny Cueto (43.9%) and Pedro Martinez (39.3%) are battling injuries.
  • Jeff Francis has pitched well lately (four straight quality starts but only 1-0) but he's facing a hot Astros team in Colorado.
  • Tim Wakefield's (11.9%) career numbers at Rangers Ballpark are awful (5-11 5.60 ERA).
  • Jamie Moyer (15,2%) and the Mets are due for a slugfest and I prefer not to stream soft-tossers.
  • Jason Marquis (2.8%) has managed to only go 9-8 this season for the Cubs and his career numbers at Great American Ball Park are not so "great" (9 GS, 3-2, 4.73 ERA, 24/21 KBB).
  • Paul Maholm (11.6%) is 2-6 with a 4.30 ERA on the road this season. I want no part of Pittsburgh pitchers at this point.


Anonymous said...

what kind of leagues are you in? casual yahoo public leagues? hardly any of the pitchers you recommend streaming are available in my leagues. i'm in a couple, pretty standard, custom yahoo leagues and a winner's league.

Daniel Aubain said...

I'm just throwing out names that are owned in less than 50% of all ESPN leagues, with a couple of exceptions so far.
In some of my leagues, the best I could stream was Rowland-Smith.

Daniel Aubain said...

Streamer follow-up:
* Todd Wellemeyer was a very nice streamer if you were able to get him (8IP 5H 3ER 1BB 7K W QS).
* Scott Baker was doing quite nicely until his bullpen let him down in the 8th (7.1IP 4H 3ER 4BB 5K ND).
* Gil Meche continued to be en fuego since the All Star break (7IP 3H 1ER 2BB 10K W QS)
* Shaun Marcum was on his way to a victory (7IP 4H 0ER 3BB 7K ND) until BJ Ryan blew up.
* Ryan Rowland-Smith validated why he was only 2.1% owned with his less than impressive performance (6.1IP 7H 3ER 4BB 1K ND).

Here are the results of the wary:
* Johnny Cueto was terrible (5.1IP 8H 5ER 1BB 3K 2HRA L).
* Jeff Francis was respectable (6.1IP 7H 2ER 2BB 5K QS L).
* Tim Wakefield continued to struggle at Texas (1.2IP 4H 7ER 4BB 0K L).
* Jamie Moyer was postponed but I would still avoid him on Sunday.
* Jason Marquis proved worthy (7.1IP 5H 2ER 5BB 2K W QS).
* Paul Maholm had a nice outing ruin by his bullpen too (6IP 7H 1ER 1BB 5K QS ND).

A few missed opportunities:
* Greg Smith (12.0%) 7IP 3H 0ER 5BB 2K W QS
* Sidney Ponson (2.1%) 6IP 5H 3ER 1BB 1K W QS
* Tim Redding (9.8%) 6IP 5H 2ER 3BB 4K QS ND