Friday, September 5, 2008

A Steady Stream

First off, I am not so sure I am in love with the name of this column, "A Steady Stream". It kinda feels like the result after taking a prostate drug like Flomax. Anyway, there are a lot of names available out there to stream for Saturday, September 9th with varying levels of risk. Stream wisely!
  • Todd Wellemeyer (59.9%) @ home vs. Florida: Todd is sporting a 2.78 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over the last month with a 3-2 record but has only recorded three quality starts. He also has a post-All Star ERA of 3.23 in 55.2 IPs with a .230 BAA. Florida's post-All Star BA of .239 ranks 29th.
  • Scott Baker (44.9%) @ home vs. Detroit: It was hard to find numbers to support streaming Baker but here are two that stood out. This season, his home ERA is 3.23 and his day games ERA is 3.30. I also like the fact that Minnesota is in the thick of a playoff run.
  • Gil Meche (34.8%) @ home vs. Cleveland: Meche has been on fire since the All Star break. Check out these numbers - 59 IP, 2.75 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 60/20 KBB ratio. Unfortunately, he's only 4-1 in that span but has posted seven of nine quality starts.
  • Shaun Marcum (59.7%) @ home vs. Tampa Bay: Marcum has been recalled from Triple-A to make this start. He had two good starts (15K in 13IP) down there and I'm simply hoping that confidence carries over to this start. He is 5-4 at home with a 3.05 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and a .200 BAA.
  • Ryan Rowland-Smith (2.1%) @ home vs. the Yankees: In seven starts this season, Ryan has performed well. He's only 2-1 in 39.2 IPs but a 3.86 ERA isn't bad. Here's where the numbers start to get interesting. In his last 20.1 IPs, his ERA is 1.77 with a 1.08 WHIP along with three straight quality starts.
Here are some others that I'd be wary to stream:
  • Johnny Cueto (43.9%) and Pedro Martinez (39.3%) are battling injuries.
  • Jeff Francis has pitched well lately (four straight quality starts but only 1-0) but he's facing a hot Astros team in Colorado.
  • Tim Wakefield's (11.9%) career numbers at Rangers Ballpark are awful (5-11 5.60 ERA).
  • Jamie Moyer (15,2%) and the Mets are due for a slugfest and I prefer not to stream soft-tossers.
  • Jason Marquis (2.8%) has managed to only go 9-8 this season for the Cubs and his career numbers at Great American Ball Park are not so "great" (9 GS, 3-2, 4.73 ERA, 24/21 KBB).
  • Paul Maholm (11.6%) is 2-6 with a 4.30 ERA on the road this season. I want no part of Pittsburgh pitchers at this point.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

what kind of leagues are you in? casual yahoo public leagues? hardly any of the pitchers you recommend streaming are available in my leagues. i'm in a couple, pretty standard, custom yahoo leagues and a winner's league.

Daniel Aubain said...

I'm just throwing out names that are owned in less than 50% of all ESPN leagues, with a couple of exceptions so far.
In some of my leagues, the best I could stream was Rowland-Smith.

Daniel Aubain said...

Streamer follow-up:
* Todd Wellemeyer was a very nice streamer if you were able to get him (8IP 5H 3ER 1BB 7K W QS).
* Scott Baker was doing quite nicely until his bullpen let him down in the 8th (7.1IP 4H 3ER 4BB 5K ND).
* Gil Meche continued to be en fuego since the All Star break (7IP 3H 1ER 2BB 10K W QS)
* Shaun Marcum was on his way to a victory (7IP 4H 0ER 3BB 7K ND) until BJ Ryan blew up.
* Ryan Rowland-Smith validated why he was only 2.1% owned with his less than impressive performance (6.1IP 7H 3ER 4BB 1K ND).

Here are the results of the wary:
* Johnny Cueto was terrible (5.1IP 8H 5ER 1BB 3K 2HRA L).
* Jeff Francis was respectable (6.1IP 7H 2ER 2BB 5K QS L).
* Tim Wakefield continued to struggle at Texas (1.2IP 4H 7ER 4BB 0K L).
* Jamie Moyer was postponed but I would still avoid him on Sunday.
* Jason Marquis proved worthy (7.1IP 5H 2ER 5BB 2K W QS).
* Paul Maholm had a nice outing ruin by his bullpen too (6IP 7H 1ER 1BB 5K QS ND).

A few missed opportunities:
* Greg Smith (12.0%) 7IP 3H 0ER 5BB 2K W QS
* Sidney Ponson (2.1%) 6IP 5H 3ER 1BB 1K W QS
* Tim Redding (9.8%) 6IP 5H 2ER 3BB 4K QS ND